| | |  | Maritime Security | Home » » Monsoon: The Indian Ocean and the Future of American Power | | | | | | | Description: | | On the world maps common in America, the Western Hemisphere lies front and center, while the Indian Ocean region all but disappears. This convention reveals the geopolitical focus of the now-departed twentieth century, but in the twenty-first century that focus will fundamentally change. In this pivotal examination of the countries known as “Monsoon Asia”—which include India, Pakistan, China, Indonesia, Burma, Oman, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, and Tanzania—bestselling author Robert D. Kaplan shows how crucial this dynamic area has become to American power. It is here that the fight for democracy, energy independence, and religious freedom will be lost or won, and it is here that American foreign policy must concentrate if the United States is to remain relevant in an ever-changing world. From the Horn of Africa to the Indonesian archipelago and beyond, Kaplan exposes the effects of population growth, climate change, and extremist politics on this unstable region, demonstrating why Americans can no longer afford to ignore this important area of the world. | | | Product Details: | | | Author:
| Robert D. Kaplan | | Paperback:
| 400 pages | | Publisher:
| Random House Trade Paperbacks | | Publication Date:
| September 13, 2011 | | Language:
| English | | ISBN:
| 0812979206 | | Product Length:
| 5.1 inches | | Product Width:
| 0.81 inches | | Product Height:
| 7.9 inches | | Product Weight:
| 0.6 pounds | | Package Length:
| 7.87 inches | | Package Width:
| 5.12 inches | | Package Height:
| 0.87 inches | | Package Weight:
| 0.31 pounds | | Average Customer Rating:
| based on 48 reviews |
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105 of 113 found the following review helpful:
Explanations of the changes taking place in the Indian Ocean and the historical reasons for the direction of the changeOct 03, 2010
By Charles Ashbacher There can be no doubt that the power of the western industrialized nations in general and that of the United States in particular is declining relative to Asia. China and India both have over a billion people with rapidly growing economies and can also boast of having extremely successful overseas communities. People of Chinese extraction have long been a large part of the merchant class in other Asian nations and many of the major information technology companies in the United States have been created or expanded by expatriates of Indian extraction. The consumption of crude oil and other fossil fuels in both China and India is also rapidly increasing, making their economies just as reliant on Middle Eastern oil as those of the west and Japan. Most of this oil will have to travel through the northern sections of the Indian Ocean, making it a vital sea-lane for both nations. If a path is necessary for your survival, it must be protected and both India and China are ramping up their navies in order to do so. At the same time, the U. S. Navy is downsizing in the number of ships, so its longtime dominant naval power in the Indian Ocean and the Pacific is declining. This situation is leading to a new great power rivalry between the major players of India, Indonesia, China and the United States in the area of the Indian Ocean. Less powerful but still extremely significant nations that will be critical to what happens in the future are Iran, Pakistan, Burma, Thailand, Afghanistan, Malaysia, Singapore, Sri Lanka and Vietnam. The new reality has reformed old ties, re-ignited old conflicts and led to the development of unusual alliances. For example, the centuries old hostility between Vietnam and China has risen once again, the Vietnamese now welcome an American naval presence on their coast. The seeds of the complexity of this situation were planted centuries ago, almost literally at the dawn of modern history. Kaplan goes back and explains these roots in detail and there were many facts and situations that I was unaware of. For example, I did not know that Farsi, the language of the Persians, was the lingua franca of India until the British colonial masters decreed that it would be English. While there have been conflicts between the different ethnic and religious groups in the area, with the exception of the enslavement of black Africans, those groups have been surprisingly tolerant of each other. A very strong case can be made that the history of the twenty first century is going to be concentrated in east and south Asia and a great deal of that case is made in this book. Geopolitical and economic forces are pushing all the nations into positions of possible conflict over power, position and resources. Kaplan does an excellent job in describing most of the potential conflicts and many of the possible outcomes. If the solutions are to be largely non-violent, then there must be the application of a great deal of wise and intelligent thinking by all of the major players. In Kaplan's terms, it is the application of soft or economic and intellectual power. As Kaplan also explains, real or potential insurgencies are active in nearly all of the nations of the region, so some of the countries may be damaged or destroyed by internal factors. This is a fascinating book about the region of the Indian Ocean, there is an enormous amount of information in this book and it could easily become the basis of a very large number of "What if?" type novels. Pick almost any location in the area and a good writer of fiction could use the local history and potential conflicts to create an entertaining and engaging story that just might come true.
54 of 56 found the following review helpful:
History - retold in an interesting analytical frameworkOct 18, 2010
By Sreeram Ramakrishnan In a very deft manner, Kaplan provides a treat for any political or history buff - a well-researched (& cited) account of the greater Indian ocean juxtaposed with a political analysis. Kaplan's main contention is that the "greater Indian ocean" will be as "iconic" to the future as Europe was for the past one. The meticulous historical account and often times direct projection of that history allows Kaplan to substantiate that assertion. The author then attempts to further argue that America's own destiny lies in understanding (and adapting to) the greater Indian ocean. These dual theories/hypotheses drive the entire book.
Weaving through the histories of each of the countries in the region, and articulating political, religious and more importantly, commercial contexts, Kaplan provides a rigorous treatment of the first hypothesis. [Reading India's history (my motherland)in mostly non-political context was a real eye-opener and was well worth the book in itself for me.] The sections describing the Portuguese influence on maritime trade, the aggressive stance against Islamic traders by Europeans, the volatile politics in the Indian heartland reflect a very thorough analysis.
Oftentimes, the intertwined trends Kaplan is trying to delineate, tend to overshadow the focus he tries to bring in each chapter - perhaps fittingly, but unwittingly. Moreover, considering that terrorism-infected Pakistan is central to most countries political machinations, a detailed discussion on its current role may have been a worthwhile addition to the book. While the author adopts a fairly non-pedantic narration style, mixing first-person travelogue-like accounts with almost scholarly essays, often times, he leaves the reader hanging dry...(for example, one of the chapters end "..is a lesson the US would do well to learn", without referencing the context or implications if US does not "learn"). Such treatment often leaves the second hypothesis under-served. At times, the discussion of the macro trends tend to be repetitive.
Nevertheless, the detailed research, insightful reflection of history and a unique interpretation of history through both political-religious and mercantile contexts, makes this a very informative and thought-provoking read. 4.5*
23 of 26 found the following review helpful:
an intellectual Marco PoloNov 01, 2010
By F. J. West
"Bing West"
Bob Kaplan is an intellectual Marco Polo. He sets forth on adventures with a cheerful attitude, a shrewd eye and an historian's sense of breadth and mystery. In Monsoon, as in all his earlier books, the result is a thoughtful, balanced and refreshing blend of fascinating sea stores (historical tidbits we hadn't heard before) and bold projections about the future. In focusing on the Indian Ocean, he is ten years in front of the rest of us. Despite political rhetoric, global reliance upon oil will not decrease and geopolitical collisions among the US, China, Iran, Pakistan and India - all nuclear armed - are inevitable. Kaplan provides a framework for understanding the monsoons to come.
9 of 9 found the following review helpful:
Another Timely and Informative Effort by KaplanNov 25, 2010
By J. Canestrino Monsoon: The Indian Ocean and the Future of American Power is another in a long line of travel logs from Robert Kaplan. In this book Kaplan travels through Oman, Baluchistan (the coastal portion of Pakistan which stretches into Afghanistan and India as well), India, Bangladesh, Burma, Sri Lanka, Indonesia, Malaysia and Zanzibar. He gives a boots-on-the-ground view of the people, politics, geography and culture as it is right now. What concerns the people and their leaders, their attitude towards American economic hegemony (even as it wanes), their views on nationalism and religion in their own countries and the economic and environmental challenges their societies face. But where Kaplan shines is the historical perspectives he adds to each place he travels. He will go back as far as written records exist to understand how successive invasions, empires and wars have shaped the people, culture, language and boundaries of the nations as they now exist. This is the eleventh book by Kaplan I have read. Soldiers of God: With Islamic Warriors in Afghanistan and Pakistan inspired me to read Rudyard Kipling, The Ends of the Earth: From Togo to Turkmenistan, from Iran to Cambodia inspired me to read the excellent novel The Heart of the Matter by Graham Greene, Mediterranean Winter deceived me into believing I should tackle Edward Gibbon. This book has convinced me I should give the poetry of Rabindranath Tagore a try. Kaplan deftly interweaves his descriptions of the people and landscapes (over the course of twelve novels and numerous lectures and articles his prose has steadily improved) with quotes from other authors about the same areas. The author might be a novelist intimate with the setting, it might be a poet's florid description of their homeland, it might be the description of a former Imperialist administrator or soldier who knew the landscape only as a battlefield and the people only as adversaries, but all are meant to deepen the reader's understanding of the people and place being described whether the quote strengthens Kaplan's view or is added for juxtaposition. Thomas Friedman's world might well be flat and Jared Diamond's world might be on the brink of collapse (and they might be able to deliver a better lecture on economics and the science of global warming, respectively), but Kaplan's world is anchored by its geography and connected by a long, fluid line to the history that has shaped its cultural and geopolitical context. The conclusions he draws in this book? 1) The Indian Ocean Rim countries have been connected by predictable trade winds for millennia allowing them to intermingle goods, cultures, religions and snippets of language reducing isolationism and leading to a secular and cosmopolitan outlook by many 2) India and China will likely clash for dominance as the primary naval power in the Indian Ocean and on land in Burma and Nepal. The United States will reduce its role as the `Guardian of the World's Oceans' and focus on counterbalancing China in the Pacific. As the economies and populations of China and India continue to grow while that of the US stagnates or declines the US will only be able to project "soft power" in these regions owing to the fact that a direct confrontation with China could easily lead to them deciding to no longer finance the US national debt. 3) Indonesia might be the World's largest Islamic nation, but one that is unlikely to radicalize due to the moderating influence of the underlying Hindu and Buddhist cultures. 4) China will continue to project economic "soft power" throughout the South Pacific and Indian Oceans as it offers billions of development dollars to countries without concern for the governments' record on upholding human rights; US aid comes with a civics lesson, China's appetite for natural resources is too rapacious to be anything but pragmatic.
67 of 86 found the following review helpful:
A jaundiced viewNov 29, 2010
By C. Freeman After listening to a radio interview of Kaplan I purchased Monsoon and was very excited to read it. The topic is fascinating, and of course timely, but there seems to be an alternative viewpoint lurking beneath the surface of Kaplan's work that causes me to question his objectivity, and earnestness when possibly presenting opinion as fact. For example, on page 98 in his discussion of Gujarat he describes the 2002 atrocities between Hindu and Muslin initiated in the town of Godhra that resulted in the deaths of over 1,000 people. By accounts at BBC to name one source, it began when 57 Hindus were "incinerated" in the train that was set fire after a conflict at the Godhra train station, a Muslim city. Kaplan spends three lines describing the incident noting "The Muslims that started the fire were apparently the victims of taunts from other Hindus" Kaplan omits allegations that Muslims had preplanned the incident, forcibly stopped the train, and had stockpiled 140 liters of petrol to drive the fire. However he follows this with three pages of great detail describing the Hindu reaction, including allegations that the Godhra government was actively involved. This is only one example, but this biased presentation of a key event, combined with repeated gratuitous swipes as US policy, particularly in Iraq, leaves me uneasy about accepting anything in the book at face value. Personally, I simply do not know the subject matter well enough to know when else Kaplan might be taking poetic license. After about 250 pages, I set Monsoon aside to seek other books on the subject, and I have ordered several of the source books he sites. So I would only recommend this book if you plan to read it has part of a much broader review of the topic.
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